Supervisor: Pierre Legendre
The synergistic effects of climate change, fragmentation and habitat loss threaten the long-term persistence of species. Indeed, while climate change will force species range shift, habitat loss and fragmentation will hinder species movement. Hence, global changes pose major challenges for conservation planning. A key strategy to ensure species persistence under climate change is to maintain and restore landscape connectivity by creating reserve networks. To this end, it is necessary to develop better predictive tools that incorporate important ecological considerations, including species interactions and dispersal limitation, in order to better anticipate range shift and identify conservation priorities. The main objective of this thesis is to improve predictive distribution models and develop methods for spatial conservation prioritization of reserves and corridors that maximize long-term persistence of species under climate change. My goals are: 1) to evaluate the effectiveness of existing protected areas under climate change; 2) to incorporate biotic interactions into predictive models and conservation plans; 3) to evaluate the consequences of the synergistic effects between climate and land use changes on conservation planning; and 4) to compare the structure and connectivity of different reserve networks.
Brice, Marie-Hélène, Stéphanie Pellerin, Monique Poulin,
2016 Journal of Vegetation Science
2- Liana Distribution in Response to Urbanization in Temperate Forests
Brice, Marie-Hélène, Alexandre Bergeron, Stéphanie Pellerin